In the first semifinal of Euro 2008, Turkey provides the classic story of a gritty underdog. Turkey is ranked 20th in the world, and was almost an afterthought entering the tournament. After an incredible three consecutive comeback wins, Turkey faces one of their toughest opponents yet, a solid, experienced German side (5th in the world). Unfortunately, Turkey will probably be without some of their best players, their captain and others with injuries and still others due to yellow card accumulation. The captain, Nihat Kahveci, had been one of their stalwarts, and scored two dramatic goals in the last 5 minutes to beat the Czech Republic. Reuters is reporting that Turkey may only have 13 healthy, eligible outfield players for the semifinal, and a backup goalie might play away from the goal. Of course, Turkey is not as deep as the Germans or other top sides, so the need to play backups is more of a problem.
The case for Germany:
The more experienced, talented, and healthy side in this match, the Germans have one of the best offensive squads in the tournament. The combination of Schweinsteiger, Ballack, Podolski, and Klose looked almost unstoppable against Portugal, and an early lead by the Germans might be insurmountable. All of that would be true even if Turkey had their first string on the pitch, but with so many injuries and disqualifications, this could get ugly. The Germans are heavy favorites, and rightfully so. There's just no tangible reason to expect a victory by the Turks.
The case for Turkey:Adversity is nothing new for these players. Of the 5 comeback victories in Euro 2008, the Turks have produced 3 of them, and consecutively at that. In every one of them, the Turks have scored in stoppage time (or really close to it) to either tie the game or win it. The Turks will have absolutely no pressure on them, with everyone expecting an undermanned, overwhelmed team to get blown out by the superior Germans. If the Germans overlook them or decide things are wrapped up once they have a lead, Turkey could make them pay, just like Croatia. A one-goal lead late in the game might be the worst scenario for Germany.
Prediction:
Germany, 3-1. But I will be rooting for the underdogs.
2 Responses:
One match too many for the Turks. I guess their Euro 2008 journey will end here! :)
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