September 26, 2008

Week 4 NFL Picks

Brien (8-7-0):
Not a great week last week, but I'll try to turn it around.

CINCINNATI (-3) over Cleveland - One of these teams has to win a game eventually, and after watching the Ravens demolish the Browns last week, I think it will be the Bengals.

TAMPA BAY (-1.5) over Green Bay - The Bucs have been doing well ATS this year (2-1) and by this line I don't think Vegas understands how good they are yet.

ST. LOUIS (+8.5) over Buffalo - I'm not sold on the Bills yet.  And certainly not as road favorites by more than a touchdown.

Minnesota (+3) over TENNESSEE - The Titans are another team I don't think is as good as they're made out to be.

Baltimore (+5.5) over Pittsburgh - This game will be closer than that.

Jason (6-9-0):

Mmm, six and nine. I guess I've given them enough of a head start.

Denver (-9.5) over KANSAS CITY - It's a division game at Arrowhead and the Broncos D isn't very good. I still like laying 9.5.

San Diego (-7) over OAKLAND - I'll take the AFC West road sweep. I can't see Oakland rallying behind Kiffin.

Baltimore (+5.5) over PITTSBURGH - I hate picking this game on Thursday, but I feel like the Ravens can keep this low-scoring.

Washington (+11) over DALLAS - I just can't take any NFC East team by double digits over any other.

ST. LOUIS (+8.5) over Buffalo - I'll admit this is totally just a hunch. This is the time of the season when the real crap teams punch somebody in the mouth.
 

Jeremy (7-8-0):
Ouch.  Rough week last week going 1-4.  Under .500 for the first time since early last season.  Must make up for it this week.

Green Bay (+1.5) over TAMPA BAY - I like Aaron Rodgers to bounce back nicely this week after a tough showing in Big D.

NEW ORLEANS (-6) over San Francisco - Records that don't reflect the quality of opponents each has had to play probably lead to this line which is a little low, in my opinion.

Denver (-9.5) over KANSAS CITY - The largest line on the board and a team that truly deserves to be that much of a dawg, even at home.

Washington (+11) over DALLAS - The 'Skins lose, but I think maybe by 10.  Of course, this line is tailor-made to snare suckers like me.

NEW YORK JETS (-1.5) over Arizona - A short week to prepare for the Jets, but the Cards have to make back-to-back 3000 mile west coast to east coast trips, this time to face a pissed off Brett Favre. 

Magic 8 Ball (7-8-0):
The Magic 8 Ball comes back down to Earth after an insane 2007.
TAMPA BAY (-1.5) over Green Bay - "My sources say yes." (Bucs will beat the spread)
NEW ORLEANS (-6) over San Francisco - "Yes." (Saints will beat the spread)
KANSAS CITY (+9.5) over Denver - "Signs point to yes." (Chiefs will beat the spread)
Washington (+11) over DALLAS - "My answer is no." (Cowboys won't beat the spread)
NEW YORK JETS (-1.5) over Arizona - "Yes." (Jets will beat the spread)


Russell (9-6-0)
So much for perfection, I knew it couldn't last.  Let's hope for better this week.  I'm back to picking mostly road teams.

Denver (-9.5) over KANSAS CITY - This team lost by 15 at home to the Raiders, and Denver can put up some points.

TENNESSEE (-3) over Minnesota
- A very physical football game, Titans are better all-around and at home.

San Diego (-7) over OAKLAND
- I think the Chargers finally figured things out last week.

Philadelphia (-3) over CHICAGO - The blitzes will make Orton look awful, turnovers all night.

Atlanta (+7.5) over CAROLINA - The Falcons are better than they're getting credit for.

Recap:
Brien - CIN, TB, STL, MIN, BAL
Jason - DEN, SD, BAL, WAS, STL
Jeremy - GB, NO, DEN, WAS, NYJ
Russell - DEN, TEN, SD, PHI, ATL

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