November 13, 2008

Week 11 NFL Picks Against the Spread

Here we go. It's crunch time and all our picks would make you cash, except Russ'. Our loyal readers will know that Russell is only worth it on the college side.

Brien (28-22)

NEW ENGLAND (-3.5) over NY Jets - Don't be fooled by their record, the Jets have been beating up on the dregs of the league.

Tennessee (-3) over JACKSONVILLE - The Titans still aren't getting enough credit. And the Jaguars are still getting too much.

TAMPA BAY (-4) over Minnesota - The Bucs are really good at home.

Arizona (-2.5) over SEATTLE - The WTF line of the week

BUFFALO (-4.5) over Cleveland - The Bills have dropped 3 in a row, but they'll reverse it here. Ralph Wilson Stadium gets crazy for Monday night games, so the Bills will have a raucous crowd behind them.

Jason (26-24)
WTF, did everyone have a 4-1 week? Was last week just the most predictable? Thank God I'm beating Russell.

Baltimore (+6.5) over New York Giants - I like the Ravens' ability to stop the Brandon Jacobs, and I think they'll stay within a TD.

CINCINNATI (+9.5) over Philadelphia - Philly took a tough loss last week and Cincy isn't 2-14 bad. It'll be this close.

SAN FRANCISCO (-6) over St. Louis - The Rams are in a tailspin and Shaun Hill and Vernon Davis are playing for what could be longterm jobs.

WASHINGTON (-2.5) over Dallas - My gut tells me that Dallas wins the game, but my brain tells me that the desperate team never does.

JACKSONVILLE (+3) over Tennessee - General rule: Take the underachieving home team over the overachieving road team

Jeremy (28-22)
Damnit, a 4-1 week and I still can't shed my tie with Brien. I would love to pick the 'Skins game, but can't do it without knowing whether or not Portis will play. I do have a bad feeling about the game though.

NEW ENGLAND (-3.5) over New York Jets - With a likely game played in the rain, the equities do seem to favor the Jets running attack over the Patriots running attack. Still, let's not get too hyped about the Jets, they beat the Rams by 40. Oh, wait, the Redskins lost to the Rams? Crap, there goes that argument. Still, the Jets are snakebitten against the Pats and don't look for Favre to be the answer on the road in the rain.

New Orleans (-5) over KANSAS CITY - New Orleans is getting healthy. Arrowhead becomes a tougher place to play as we head towards late fall, but Kansas City won't be able to keep pace with the Saints attack.

ATLANTA (-5.5) over Denver - If Matt Ryan isn't unanimous for offensive ROY, they need to investigate voter fraud. And he should have fun against the Denver D. Speaking of Denver... Tatum Bell.... Tatum FREAKING Bell?!?!?!

Arizona (-2.5) over SEATTLE - Seattle is never an easy place to play, but another example of me just not knowing how Seattle can keep pace with the Cardinals attack and therefore cover or win.

JACKSONVILLE (+3) over Tennessee - The bottom line is I know the Titans aren't going to go 16-0. The issue is when they get that first loss. The Titans have had two brutal games two weeks in a row against the Pack and Bears. Jacksonville had an easy game last week against the Lions. I think this could be the '72 Dolphins champagne game. Of course, I said that two weeks ago and was wrong.

Magic 8 Ball (26-24)
Jeremy's note - I've never before, in all of last season and in the 10 weeks of this one, had the Magic 8 Ball completely contradict me on every pick.

New York Jets (+3.5) over NEW ENGLAND - "My answer is no." (Pats won't beat the spread)

KANSAS CITY (+5) over New Orleans - "Yes." (Kansas City will beat the spread)

Denver (+5.5) over ATLANTA - "No." (Atlanta won't beat the spread)

SEATTLE (+2.5) over Arizona - "My sources say yes." (Seattle will beat the spread)

Tennessee (-3) over JACKSONVILLE - "My answer is no." (Jaguars won't beat the spread)

Russell (23-27)
A slightly better week last week, sure to be followed by misery this week. I'm optimistic, aren't I?

NEW ENGLAND (-3.5) over New York Jets - The Pats beat the Jets at the Meadowlands in Cassel's first game as a starter. They deserve to be favorites.

Arizona (-2.5) over SEATTLE - The Seahawks just don't have a whole lot this year, even against the Cards who are awful on the road.

Philadelphia (-9.5) over CINCINNATI - Do I even need to explain this?

NY GIANTS (-6.5) over Baltimore - The Giants' D will be too much for Flacco and his running backs.

Dallas (-2.5) over WASHINGTON - I expect an energized Cowboys team behind the return of Romo.

Recap:
Brien: ARI, BUF, NE, TB, TEN
J-Red: BAL, CIN, JAX, SF, WAS
Jeremy: ARI, ATL, JAX, NE, NO
Russell: ARI, DAL, NE, NYG, PHI

8 Ball: DEN, KC, NYJ, SEA, TEN

1 Responses:

Jeremy said...

Wow... I hope nobody relied on us for a Patriots pick last night. And I'd like to commend myself for sitting Matt Cassel (400 yards, three TDs) on my fantasy bench, thereby likely knocking myself out of playoff position.

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